Analyst brainstorm ahead: Pachter pre-empts NPD June reports

With the NPD Group’s June report arriving next Monday, Wedbush Morgan Securities analyst Michael Pachter, fresh out from frowning upon the recently concluded E3 Media & Business Summit, gathered relevant information and flexed a couple of neurons to predict last month’s findings.

 

Top on his fortune telling list is that the Nintendo Wii’s monthly sales will rise higher than a 4 to 1 ratio against the Sony PlayStation 3, even while Nintendo still cannot supply the overwhelming demand. Notably, however, Pachter is being optimistic about the PlayStation 3’s 100,000 sales point for a second time, lowered estimates for the Xbox 360’s sales, and forecasted June’s numbers as:

• Wii – 435,000
• PS3 – 100,000
• 360 – 200,000
• PS2 – 235,000
• PSP – 250,000
• DS – 550,000
• GBA – 90,000

In comparison, Gamasutra reports that simExchange has also offered its own predictions for the NPD June reports. Predictions aggregated from several users of the service cried out a 433,000 unit sales for the Wii, 101,000 for the PlayStation 3, 191,000 for the Xbox 360, 273,000 for Sony’s PlayStation Portable, and 510,000 for the Nintendo DS.

Activision, according to Pachter, will have seen the largest financial gain in June, garnering US$ 80 million worth in revenue, a year-on-year rise of 129%, while Take-Two Interactive may see an optimistic 6% increase from last year’s revenue to US$ 40 million, despite the issues over Manhunt 2 and the company’s restructuring efforts.

Although Pachter predicted 2007 as the Year of EA, Electronic Arts isn’t doing better in his forecast as it may suffer a 11% drop – compared to last year – to US$ 65 million for the month of June.

With the NPD Group’s June report arriving next Monday, Wedbush Morgan Securities analyst Michael Pachter, fresh out from frowning upon the recently concluded E3 Media & Business Summit, gathered relevant information and flexed a couple of neurons to predict last month’s findings.

 

Top on his fortune telling list is that the Nintendo Wii’s monthly sales will rise higher than a 4 to 1 ratio against the Sony PlayStation 3, even while Nintendo still cannot supply the overwhelming demand. Notably, however, Pachter is being optimistic about the PlayStation 3’s 100,000 sales point for a second time, lowered estimates for the Xbox 360’s sales, and forecasted June’s numbers as:

• Wii – 435,000
• PS3 – 100,000
• 360 – 200,000
• PS2 – 235,000
• PSP – 250,000
• DS – 550,000
• GBA – 90,000

In comparison, Gamasutra reports that simExchange has also offered its own predictions for the NPD June reports. Predictions aggregated from several users of the service cried out a 433,000 unit sales for the Wii, 101,000 for the PlayStation 3, 191,000 for the Xbox 360, 273,000 for Sony’s PlayStation Portable, and 510,000 for the Nintendo DS.

Activision, according to Pachter, will have seen the largest financial gain in June, garnering US$ 80 million worth in revenue, a year-on-year rise of 129%, while Take-Two Interactive may see an optimistic 6% increase from last year’s revenue to US$ 40 million, despite the issues over Manhunt 2 and the company’s restructuring efforts.

Although Pachter predicted 2007 as the Year of EA, Electronic Arts isn’t doing better in his forecast as it may suffer a 11% drop – compared to last year – to US$ 65 million for the month of June.